Prediction-market trade journal and decision-review tool

Know whether your prediction-market decisions are actually working.

Market Verity helps Kalshi traders record their reasoning, review entries and exits, track results, and identify the habits that improve or damage their performance.

Start Your Trade Journal See How It Works Try guided example

Market Verity is a decision-review and journaling tool. It does not provide financial advice and does not guarantee trading results.

What the journal tracks

Market

YES / NO side

Entry price

Contracts

Probability estimate

Confidence

Thesis

Exit review

The problem is not just picking markets. It is remembering why you acted.

Prediction markets move quickly, and hindsight gets noisy. A disciplined journal helps you separate process from outcome, compare estimates against entries, and notice repeated mistakes before they become habits.

Three-step workflow

Step 1

Record the trade

Capture the market, side, entry price, contracts, probability estimate, thesis, and supporting evidence.

Step 2

Review the reasoning

Compare your estimate with the market-implied probability and flag missing thesis, thin evidence, or expensive entries.

Step 3

Learn from the result

Close or settle trades with exit notes, mistake tags, and performance review across categories and confidence levels.

Feature overview

Trade journaling for planned, open, closed, settled, and cancelled trades
Entry and exit tracking with calculated risk, payout, edge, and P&L
Import trades from a spreadsheet and download a restorable journal backup
Small-sample safeguards so early patterns are treated carefully
Public Kalshi market-data research preserved as a supporting workflow

Sample insights

These are examples. Real insights appear only after you record enough completed trades.

You perform better in weather markets than live sports.
Trades entered above 80 cents have produced weaker results.
Your highest-confidence trades are not outperforming medium-confidence trades.
Your most common mistake is exiting too early.
Your YES positions outperform your NO positions.

Privacy and trust

Your trade journal is private. Market Verity does not place trades, hold funds, or access your Kalshi account unless you explicitly connect it. Your journal is stored only in this browser and is not synced to the cloud. Clearing your browser data may erase it, so download a backup regularly.

Build a better trading record before adding more complexity.

Start with the essentials: record trades, review decisions, analyze outcomes, and identify patterns.

Start Your Trade Journal Try guided example Review Kalshi market data